The End Game: A follow up.
Earlier I wrote out what is going to play out in the coming weeks. The game is already over, we just haven’t accepted it yet.
Instead of preparing for the aftermath, people seem content on bashing John Boehner et. al. and attacking the “establishment.” I think that’s a waste of time. What we should be doing is preparing for the aftermath.
Here’s what’s going to happen:
1. We’re going over the fiscal cliff.
2. Republicans will get blamed for it.
3. In January, a bill will make it through the House, Senate, and signed by the President which moves “middle-class” tax rates back to where they were pre-cliff jump.
4. The economy will sputter along and maybe even grow a little in a few months.
5. Obama, Democrats, and the Media will point to the improvement and say “See? Hiking taxes on the rich worked!!!”
The reality, and what every single conservative needs to start pounding away immediately is that the economy, if it improves, will do so because the devastating tax hikes on the middle class will be reversed. The economy will breathe a virtual sigh of relief and things might actually start getting better as a massive amount of uncertainty is removed from the equation. Sure, Obamacare will still be there killing jobs, but the collective sigh of relief will boost consumer confidence.
Now, instead of mounting primary challenges and fighting a civil war among ourselves, conservatives need to make the case, over and over again, that Democrats are holding the economy back. Conservatives must get on the tax reform bandwagon. Sell it as the Opportunity Society – because that’s what it would be. We must also constantly explain that the euphoria is temporary. There is a looming fiscal crisis that is still out there. Entitlement reform has to happen. But it must also be sold under the banner of the Opportunity Society.
Marco Rubio knows how to do this. Let’s make him the face of this new pitch for American Exceptionalism. Pronto.