In 2008 Barack Obama carried the ten battleground states shown below by an average of 9.5% which in political terms is a blowout, but the party is clearly over.

In 2012 the RCP Average has an average Obama lead of just 1.7% which, being well within the margin of error is a statistical tie. Little *HOPE* but lots of *CHANGE* to the tune of an 88% reduction in support.

With an average empirical loss of 7.8% in support perhaps that *FORWARD* slogan should be changed to *DOWN* because that’s where President Obama is headed.

 
 

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