I only say that because clearly the good folks at MSNBC must be on those Miami bath salts.

From theDC:

“Tonight, the really big winner in the Wisconsin recall election is President Obama,” MSNBC host Lawrence O’Donnell said at the top of his Tuesday program after parent network NBC called the race for Gov. Scott Walker over Democrat Tom Barrett.

“John Heilemann, I said at the top of the show that President Obama big winner tonight because in the exit polls we saw today that, they were asked, ‘Who would you for president today?’” O’Donnell explained. “Fifty-three percent in Wisconsin, 53 percent say President Obama. Only 42 percent say Mitt Romney. That is — if not the recall outcome — that outcome for President Obama has to be very encouraging.”

Later in the program, O’Donnell said he was basing his declaration off the exit polling for the Wisconsin recall, which some have said leaves much to be desired.

Heilemann took the unconfirmed exit polling data and called it “very encouraging.”

First of all, the same exit polls that show Obama trouncing Romney in Wisconsin are the ones that had last night’s recall at a statistical deadheat. One even said the election could have been split 50/50. Instead, all the major news outlets called the race before the hour after the polls closed was up.

But let’s use some very unscientific math here. Walker defeated Barrett by 7 points – not exactly the dead heat anyone was expecting.  That means the exit polls showing Obama trouncing Romney in the state could be off by just as much. SO instead of Romney being down by 11 in the Badger state he could only statistically be down by 4. That makes the state a tossup as we move into the general.

Heilieman continued:

“Very encouraging, Lawrence, and something that the campaign in Chicago sent out as a news release as soon as the earliest exit polls showing the president with the lead came through. They think that Wisconsin is a state that’s pretty solid for them. It’s been blue for a long time.”

If you have to send out a press release after a recall election your party called a dry-run for November in a state that is “pretty solid,” that’s not encouraging. Further, Wisconsin isn’t even a state Romney has to win to take the White House in November. It would just be another accessory on the Mercedes. If Romney does pull off Wisconsin this election was over before it started.

Wisconsin going from solid blue to lean blue or toss-up isn’t a win for Obama and the Democratic Party.  MSNBC and anyone who believes otherwise needs to get off the bath salts before they hurt someone. But if you don’t, please don’t eat anyone’s face on air – even if it might actually get you decent ratings for once.

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1 Comments

  1. Keith in Seattle says:

    This guy is dreaming. This, along with the 2010 elections SHOULD send a clear and concise message to the crony in Chief and his band of merry fools that their days are NUMBERED…

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