Romney to Lose in South Carolina?

Posted by in Blog, Politics on January 17, 2012 2:16 pm / 2 comments

Well, this is certainly interesting coming from former Romney adviser Al Cardenas regarding Saturday’s South Carolina Primary:

“There are high expectations for Romney to win a state which demographically he should not be winning,” said Al Cardenas, who headed Hispanic outreach for Romney in 2008 but has stayed neutral in this race because he now heads the American Conservative Union. “I believe that for these very same reasons, it will be very difficult for Romney to win on Saturday despite polling information to the contrary.”

While this could certainly make the race a lot more interesting, I wonder if a Romney loss there might not be as large a blow to his campaign as some might think. That scenario might allow all the candidates to remain in the race for the January 31st Florida Primary which I believe may actually a plus for Romney. The longer the “Not Mitt” vote is split between several people, it makes winning a lot easier for him.

 
 

2 Comments

  1. SC Guy says:
    January 17, 2012 at 2:56 pm

    There is no way to interpret a Romney defeat here in South Carolina as a victory for him. On the contrary, it would only continue to erode Romney’s fragile southern support.

  2. Gabriel Malor says:
    January 17, 2012 at 10:13 pm

    Welcome to the expectations game.

    Gee, one of Romney’s former campaigners is setting expectations low in South Carolina. Do you think when Romney exceeds these low expectations, even by a little bit, as polling uniformly shows he will, that he’s going to claim a major victory in a Southern state and declare that this is the knock-out punch that should make his competitors withdraw? Because I do.

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